Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 73.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 55.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 67.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
57.4% (1,010)
-6.2%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
56.2% (331)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
54.5% (110)
-4.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Home
45.8% (24)
56.4% (734)
Away
52.9% (34)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
P1
38.1%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
62.1%
P3
61.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.0%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |