Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs McTavish 43.3% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 68.3%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Draisaitl
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Draisaitl
McTavish
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
6
Draisaitl
McTavish
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
42.4% (675)
+10.0%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
40.5% (42)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
50.0% (8)
+11.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McTavish
Home
54.5% (778)
41.9% (372)
Away
55.3% (692)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Draisaitl
McTavish
P1
54.6%
47.2%
P2
56.1%
36.2%
P3
53.3%
43.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |