Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs McTavish 51.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 61.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 64.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Draisaitl
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Draisaitl
McTavish
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
2
Draisaitl
McTavish
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
4
Draisaitl
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
51.3% (725)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
55.8% (113)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
28.6% (7)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McTavish
Home
56.4% (734)
52.0% (454)
Away
57.5% (717)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Draisaitl
McTavish
P1
55.6%
51.3%
P2
62.1%
50.4%
P3
52.4%
53.3%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |