Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs McTavish 50.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 74.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 52.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 59.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Draisaitl
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
McTavish
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Draisaitl
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
51.1% (769)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
50.6% (178)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
28.6% (14)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McTavish
Home
55.2% (636)
52.3% (461)
Away
53.4% (560)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Draisaitl
McTavish
P1
50.8%
51.5%
P2
56.6%
54.0%
P3
54.0%
47.1%
OT
67.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |