Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 80.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Last 6: Draisaitl 3-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
49.4% (867)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
56.0% (25)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
40.7% (216)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Home
54.5% (778)
46.5% (480)
Away
55.3% (692)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
P1
54.6%
48.7%
P2
56.1%
45.6%
P3
53.3%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |