Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 90.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 80.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Last 6: Draisaitl 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
50.7% (906)
+6.7%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
48.1% (108)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
44.4% (239)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Home
56.4% (734)
49.8% (643)
Away
57.5% (717)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
P1
55.6%
49.4%
P2
62.1%
50.5%
P3
52.4%
47.9%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |