Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 87.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 64.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 84.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
46.7% (398)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
51.6% (31)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
62.5% (8)
-3.9%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Home
55.2% (636)
47.3% (220)
Away
53.4% (560)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
P1
50.8%
46.1%
P2
56.6%
46.3%
P3
54.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |