Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Cates 45.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 61.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 70.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 61.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Draisaitl
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Draisaitl
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Draisaitl
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
44.3% (271)
+13.1%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
77.8% (18)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
31.7% (41)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Cates
Home
56.4% (734)
52.0% (148)
Away
57.5% (717)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Draisaitl
Cates
P1
55.6%
42.7%
P2
62.1%
42.9%
P3
52.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Noah Cates |