Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Cates 45.1% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 77.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Draisaitl
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Draisaitl
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
46.7% (912)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
33.9% (56)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
35.0% (137)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Cates
Home
55.2% (636)
46.1% (521)
Away
53.4% (560)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Draisaitl
Cates
P1
50.8%
48.0%
P2
56.6%
42.3%
P3
54.0%
44.3%
OT
67.9%
31.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |