Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 83.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 92.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Draisaitl
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Draisaitl
Cates
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
1
Draisaitl
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
44.1% (2,742)
+8.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
43.0% (242)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
34.9% (373)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Cates
Home
54.6% (7,049)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Draisaitl
Cates
P1
52.7%
44.5%
P2
53.6%
43.5%
P3
53.4%
41.2%
OT
57.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |