Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 59.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 65.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
40.9% (232)
+11.7%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
100.0% (1)
-41.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
40.0% (30)
+9.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Home
55.5% (816)
38.2% (123)
Away
51.4% (845)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Draisaitl
Lafferty
P1
51.1%
41.6%
P2
51.6%
36.7%
P3
56.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |