Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 95.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 75.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 95.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Lafferty
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
42.6% (324)
+14.8%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
31.3% (16)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
43.8% (16)
+10.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Home
56.4% (734)
40.9% (181)
Away
57.5% (717)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Draisaitl
Lafferty
P1
55.6%
42.2%
P2
62.1%
36.4%
P3
52.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |