Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 78.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 51.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
50.7% (144)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
50.0% (2)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
50.0% (10)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Home
55.2% (636)
53.2% (62)
Away
53.4% (560)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Draisaitl
Lafferty
P1
50.8%
53.3%
P2
56.6%
46.7%
P3
54.0%
52.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |