Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.9%). Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Nosek 53.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 73.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 56.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Draisaitl
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Draisaitl
Nosek
Last 5: Draisaitl 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Draisaitl
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Draisaitl
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
55.1% (557)
-2.5%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
50.0% (4)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
47.7% (111)
+1.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Nosek
Home
55.5% (816)
52.3% (342)
Away
51.4% (845)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Draisaitl
Nosek
P1
51.1%
49.0%
P2
51.6%
53.8%
P3
56.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |