Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Nosek 58.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 90.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Draisaitl
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Draisaitl
Nosek
Last 5: Draisaitl 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Draisaitl
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
59.7% (469)
-7.3%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
100.0% (4)
-40.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
56.5% (124)
+4.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Nosek
Home
54.5% (778)
59.0% (295)
Away
55.3% (692)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Draisaitl
Nosek
P1
54.6%
56.3%
P2
56.1%
61.9%
P3
53.3%
59.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |