Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Nosek 51.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 72.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 74.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Draisaitl
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Draisaitl
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
53.0% (400)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
33.3% (12)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
45.5% (44)
+13.1%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Nosek
Home
55.2% (636)
49.6% (244)
Away
53.4% (560)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Draisaitl
Nosek
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
56.6%
51.4%
P3
54.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |