Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs McCarron 52.8% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 59.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.6%
Neutral zone
Cooley 52.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Cooley
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cooley
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Cooley
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cooley
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
54.5% (618)
-16.5%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
42.1% (19)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
35.3% (34)
-11.8%
On even strength, McCarron has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cooley is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Cooley shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Cooley
McCarron
Home
37.7% (332)
52.2% (339)
Away
38.4% (357)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Cooley
McCarron
P1
39.1%
53.5%
P2
37.8%
50.6%
P3
36.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
33.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |