Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs McCarron 54.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 90.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.8%
Neutral zone
Cooley 59.7%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Cooley
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cooley
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Cooley
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Cooley
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
54.2% (756)
-10.1%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
55.6% (9)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
55.1% (158)
-0.1%
On even strength, McCarron has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cooley is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Cooley shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Cooley
McCarron
Home
46.4% (418)
54.6% (445)
Away
42.7% (342)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Cooley
McCarron
P1
44.3%
53.6%
P2
45.6%
55.6%
P3
44.0%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%