Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs McCarron 52.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 93.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.7%
Neutral zone
Cooley 65.1%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Cooley
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cooley
McCarron
Last 7: Cooley 2-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Cooley
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Cooley
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
53.1% (672)
-9.2%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
18.2% (11)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
53.7% (205)
+3.4%
On power play, Cooley has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cooley shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Cooley
McCarron
Home
45.0% (211)
52.8% (477)
Away
44.0% (259)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Cooley
McCarron
P1
44.0%
56.5%
P2
49.7%
53.2%
P3
38.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |