Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs Foligno 48.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 61.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 92.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 71.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Cooley
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Cooley
Foligno
Last 6: Cooley 6-0 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
48.7% (495)
-4.6%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
56.9% (65)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
43.8% (144)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cooley is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Cooley shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Cooley
Foligno
Home
46.4% (418)
49.6% (359)
Away
42.7% (342)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Cooley
Foligno
P1
44.3%
46.7%
P2
45.6%
52.7%
P3
44.0%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |