Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cooley wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 80.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 91.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 84.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Cooley
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Cooley
Foligno
Last 9: Cooley 7-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
1
Cooley
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cooley
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,658)
48.3% (2,810)
-6.6%
Power Play
46.1% (217)
52.3% (730)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
44.0% (455)
-0.8%
On even strength, Foligno has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cooley is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,205).
Cooley shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Cooley
Foligno
Home
43.1% (961)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
41.4% (958)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Cooley
Foligno
P1
42.3%
47.6%
P2
43.9%
50.4%
P3
40.0%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
38.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |