Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Foligno 49.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 73.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 77.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Cooley
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cooley
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
49.0% (261)
-5.1%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
57.1% (42)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
47.1% (51)
+10.0%
On power play, Foligno has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cooley is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Cooley shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Cooley
Foligno
Home
45.0% (211)
48.9% (178)
Away
44.0% (259)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Cooley
Foligno
P1
44.0%
40.4%
P2
49.7%
55.8%
P3
38.0%
51.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |