Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 74.2%
Defensive zone
Cooley 76.4%
Neutral zone
Cooley 75.4%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cooley
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Cooley
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cooley
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
56.2% (983)
-12.1%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
55.5% (254)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
52.0% (102)
+3.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
46.4% (418)
56.2% (697)
Away
42.7% (342)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
44.3%
54.5%
P2
45.6%
55.5%
P3
44.0%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |