Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 85.1%
Defensive zone
Cooley 78.7%
Neutral zone
Cooley 83.7%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Cooley
O'Reilly
Last 6: Cooley 0-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Cooley
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cooley
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (496)
55.6% (926)
-12.5%
Power Play
48.2% (112)
56.3% (247)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
50.3% (169)
+12.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
43.5% (315)
55.5% (656)
Away
45.2% (301)
54.7% (686)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
44.2%
56.9%
P2
47.9%
55.1%
P3
39.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
52.0%▲
43.5%
44.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
53.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |