Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 77.6%
Defensive zone
Cooley 73.7%
Neutral zone
Cooley 76.4%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Cooley
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cooley
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
55.4% (826)
-11.5%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
57.9% (221)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.4% (129)
+6.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
45.0% (211)
55.8% (579)
Away
44.0% (259)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
44.0%
57.7%
P2
49.7%
54.8%
P3
38.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |