Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Cooley wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 21-4 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 90.4%
Defensive zone
Cooley 92.4%
Neutral zone
Cooley 96.5%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
21
(25 meetings)
4
21
Cooley
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cooley 0-10 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
11
Cooley
O'Reilly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
8
Cooley
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,762)
56.2% (15,360)
-14.5%
Power Play
46.9% (258)
58.6% (3,471)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (45)
51.4% (2,851)
-7.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,984).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
42.8% (1,065)
57.6% (10,839)
Away
41.9% (1,000)
54.4% (10,876)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
42.5%
55.6%
P2
43.7%
57.0%
P3
40.4%
55.0%
OT
100.0%
62.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
52.0%▲
43.5%
42.4%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
53.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |