Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Cooley wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 90.2%
Defensive zone
Cooley 92.2%
Neutral zone
Cooley 96.2%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Cooley
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
18
(22 meetings)
4
18
Cooley
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cooley 0-10 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
11
Cooley
O'Reilly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Cooley
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Cooley
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,658)
56.2% (15,260)
-14.5%
Power Play
46.1% (217)
58.8% (3,445)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
51.4% (2,811)
-8.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cooley is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,205).
Cooley shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Cooley
O'Reilly
Home
43.1% (961)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
41.4% (958)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Cooley
O'Reilly
P1
42.3%
55.6%
P2
43.9%
57.0%
P3
40.0%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
38.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |