Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs Lafferty 43.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 52.5%
Neutral zone
Cooley 53.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Cooley
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cooley
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Cooley
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
42.6% (324)
-4.6%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
31.3% (16)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
43.8% (16)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cooley is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Cooley shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Cooley
Lafferty
Home
37.7% (332)
40.9% (181)
Away
38.4% (357)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Cooley
Lafferty
P1
39.1%
42.2%
P2
37.8%
36.4%
P3
36.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
33.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |