Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 73.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.7%
Neutral zone
Cooley 58.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Cooley
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cooley
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Cooley
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
52.4% (42)
-8.5%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cooley shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Cooley
Lafferty
Home
45.0% (211)
47.8% (23)
Away
44.0% (259)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Cooley
Lafferty
P1
44.0%
53.3%
P2
49.7%
55.6%
P3
38.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |