Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 88.4%
Defensive zone
Cooley 53.0%
Neutral zone
Cooley 69.5%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Cooley
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cooley
Lafferty
Last 7: Cooley 2-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
0
Cooley
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Cooley
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
4
Cooley
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
50.7% (144)
-6.6%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
50.0% (2)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
50.0% (10)
+5.0%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cooley is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Cooley shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Cooley
Lafferty
Home
46.4% (418)
53.2% (62)
Away
42.7% (342)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Cooley
Lafferty
P1
44.3%
53.3%
P2
45.6%
46.7%
P3
44.0%
52.8%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |