Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Couture 48.8% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 53.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 86.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 60.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Mercer
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Mercer
Couture
Last 7: Mercer 4-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
3
Mercer
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
48.7% (986)
-13.3%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
58.5% (94)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
44.1% (195)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couture
Home
39.9% (283)
47.2% (625)
Away
31.3% (307)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Mercer
Couture
P1
37.7%
46.8%
P2
32.1%
49.8%
P3
37.7%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |