Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Couture 46.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 74.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Tavares
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Couture
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
46.2% (275)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
43.8% (16)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
44.1% (34)
+5.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Couture is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couture
Home
55.0% (864)
46.1% (154)
Away
50.8% (862)
45.6% (171)
By Period
Tavares
Couture
P1
51.8%
45.0%
P2
51.4%
40.8%
P3
54.5%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |