Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Couture 46.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 88.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Staal
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Couture
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
46.4% (526)
+10.3%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
42.4% (33)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
48.0% (50)
-1.6%
On power play, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Staal shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Staal
Couture
Home
58.8% (522)
46.5% (333)
Away
52.7% (501)
46.0% (276)
By Period
Staal
Couture
P1
60.8%
45.7%
P2
55.9%
43.7%
P3
51.7%
48.7%
OT
46.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |