Logan Couture vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 51 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 49-45 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 54.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Couture
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
49
(94 meetings)
45
49
Couture
MacKinnon
Last 10: Couture 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
13
15
Couture
MacKinnon
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
10
5
Couture
MacKinnon
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
22
29
Couture
MacKinnon
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
53.3% (1,412)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
42.8% (502)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Couture
MacKinnon
Home
49.4% (5,418)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Couture
MacKinnon
P1
47.9%
47.4%
P2
47.9%
46.6%
P3
49.2%
46.1%
OT
48.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |