Logan Couture vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 53.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Couture
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Couture
MacKinnon
Last 9: Couture 4-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Couture
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Couture
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
44.7% (1,053)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
36.8% (95)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
65.0% (20)
-29.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Couture
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (713)
49.4% (553)
Away
45.0% (636)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Couture
MacKinnon
P1
47.2%
45.3%
P2
45.0%
42.7%
P3
50.0%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
42.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |