Logan Couture vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Couture
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
45.5% (1,190)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.4% (94)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
40.0% (30)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Couture
MacKinnon
Home
45.2% (62)
47.8% (670)
Away
52.9% (34)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Couture
MacKinnon
P1
55.2%
45.3%
P2
44.4%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
45.0%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%