Logan Couture vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Couture
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Couture
MacKinnon
Last 10: Couture 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
1
Couture
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Couture
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
45.8% (755)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
48.3% (60)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
27.6% (29)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Couture shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Couture
MacKinnon
Home
47.2% (625)
49.5% (396)
Away
50.2% (650)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Couture
MacKinnon
P1
46.8%
50.2%
P2
49.8%
43.8%
P3
49.8%
41.4%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |