Logan Couture vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.5%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.4% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 67.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Couture
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Couture
MacKinnon
Last 10: Couture 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
7
Couture
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
2
Couture
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Couture
MacKinnon
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (714)
48.5% (439)
+2.3%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
54.8% (42)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (107)
25.0% (12)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Couture is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Couture shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Couture
MacKinnon
Home
47.6% (456)
52.5% (221)
Away
51.1% (444)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Couture
MacKinnon
P1
50.8%
50.5%
P2
48.1%
45.5%
P3
48.9%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |