Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Paul 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 64.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 70.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 64.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Couture
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Couture
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Couture
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Couture
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
53.8% (753)
-4.6%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
58.9% (90)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
47.4% (78)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Couture
Paul
Home
49.6% (713)
54.2% (450)
Away
45.0% (636)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Couture
Paul
P1
47.2%
58.2%
P2
45.0%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |