Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 67.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 68.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 70.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Couture
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Paul
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Couture
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Couture
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Couture
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
52.5% (3,796)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
56.5% (480)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
46.7% (574)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Couture
Paul
Home
49.4% (5,418)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Couture
Paul
P1
47.9%
53.9%
P2
47.9%
51.0%
P3
49.2%
52.0%
OT
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |