Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 56.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Couture
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
53.1% (710)
-8.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.3% (199)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
58.0% (69)
+5.6%
On even strength, Paul has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Couture
Paul
Home
45.2% (62)
56.0% (466)
Away
52.9% (34)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Couture
Paul
P1
55.2%
57.2%
P2
44.4%
54.9%
P3
50.0%
51.5%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%