Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.4% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 71.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Couture
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Couture
Schmaltz
Last 10: Couture 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Couture
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
4
Couture
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
4
2
Couture
Schmaltz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (714)
42.5% (485)
+8.3%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
45.1% (51)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (107)
100.0% (1)
-62.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +62.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Couture is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Couture shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Couture
Schmaltz
Home
47.6% (456)
45.0% (258)
Away
51.1% (444)
40.9% (279)
By Period
Couture
Schmaltz
P1
50.8%
47.0%
P2
48.1%
42.7%
P3
48.9%
38.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |