Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 81.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Couture
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Couture
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Couture
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
37.7% (53)
+11.5%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
40.9% (44)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
66.7% (3)
-31.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Couture
Schmaltz
Home
49.6% (713)
34.7% (49)
Away
45.0% (636)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Couture
Schmaltz
P1
47.2%
25.9%
P2
45.0%
46.2%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |