Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 82.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 58.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Couture
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Couture
Schmaltz
Last 5: Couture 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Couture
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
0
Couture
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
42.9% (133)
+5.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
55.1% (89)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
47.1% (17)
-3.0%
On even strength, Couture has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Couture shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Couture
Schmaltz
Home
47.2% (625)
41.6% (125)
Away
50.2% (650)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Couture
Schmaltz
P1
46.8%
40.0%
P2
49.8%
59.5%
P3
49.8%
45.0%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |