Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Couture
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
38.5% (309)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
53.2% (79)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
25.0% (12)
+38.6%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Couture
Schmaltz
Home
45.2% (62)
38.0% (184)
Away
52.9% (34)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Couture
Schmaltz
P1
55.2%
40.3%
P2
44.4%
39.9%
P3
50.0%
40.7%
OT
16.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%