Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Carpenter 52.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 63.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 66.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 61.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Couture
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Couture
Carpenter
Last 9: Couture 3-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
5
Couture
Carpenter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
53.6% (267)
-7.2%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
28.6% (7)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
50.0% (32)
-2.0%
On power play, Couture has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Couture is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Couture shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Couture
Carpenter
Home
46.5% (333)
47.6% (145)
Away
46.0% (276)
57.1% (161)
By Period
Couture
Carpenter
P1
45.7%
51.7%
P2
43.7%
47.6%
P3
48.7%
57.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Logan Couture |