Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.8%). Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Couture 66.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 63.3%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.6%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Couture
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
48.8% (404)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
100.0% (1)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
43.6% (101)
+20.0%
On power play, Carpenter has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Couture
Carpenter
Home
45.2% (62)
48.9% (274)
Away
52.9% (34)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Couture
Carpenter
P1
55.2%
51.9%
P2
44.4%
49.4%
P3
50.0%
41.8%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%