Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 79.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 52.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 61.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Couture
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Couture
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
53.1% (113)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
100.0% (1)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
60.0% (10)
-24.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Couture
Carpenter
Home
49.6% (713)
58.5% (65)
Away
45.0% (636)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Couture
Carpenter
P1
47.2%
65.8%
P2
45.0%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Logan Couture |