Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Couture 70.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 56.3%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Couture
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
53.2% (299)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
33.3% (3)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
46.5% (86)
-2.4%
On power play, Couture has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Couture shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Couture
Carpenter
Home
47.2% (625)
54.6% (207)
Away
50.2% (650)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Couture
Carpenter
P1
46.8%
52.3%
P2
49.8%
51.5%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%