Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Johansen 55.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Couture
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Couture
Johansen
Last 7: Couture 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Couture
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
1
Couture
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (275)
55.9% (1,157)
-9.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.5% (237)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
43.3% (67)
+0.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Couture is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Couture shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Couture
Johansen
Home
46.1% (154)
55.8% (733)
Away
45.6% (171)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Couture
Johansen
P1
45.0%
53.5%
P2
40.8%
55.9%
P3
50.8%
57.2%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |