Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 28 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 43-29 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 77.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 74.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 71.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Couture
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
43
(72 meetings)
29
43
Couture
Johansen
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
21
Couture
Johansen
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
15
10
Couture
Johansen
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
12
Couture
Johansen
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
53.1% (11,017)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
56.2% (2,163)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
50.5% (978)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Couture
Johansen
Home
49.4% (5,418)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Couture
Johansen
P1
47.9%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
53.9%
P3
49.2%
52.8%
OT
48.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2022 | OT | 01:06 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |