Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 53.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Couture
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
51.9% (597)
-7.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.9% (133)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
54.3% (81)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Couture
Johansen
Home
45.2% (62)
55.8% (387)
Away
52.9% (34)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Couture
Johansen
P1
55.2%
50.0%
P2
44.4%
56.2%
P3
50.0%
52.6%
OT
16.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%